Boys and their toys… you really don’t need this many screens…
Video Guide to Ascending & Descending TrianglesBelow, a good and simple 2m:35s introductory technical analysis video to triangle patterns from IG:
18 October 2017: Textbook Death Cross ExampleEUR/USD has just shown a textbook death cross.
A ‘Death Cross’ is a pretty negative signal and happens when a 50-period moving average crosses below the 200-preiod moving average.
In this case it’s the 50-hour ma crossing below the 200-hour ma.
For spread bettors this is interesting because that’s a much shorter term signal than the 50-day ma crossing below the 200-day ma.
See EUR/USD Death Cross.
19 September 2017: Long-Term USD/JPY Triangle SignalThere’s an interesting triangle pattern for USD/JPY.
No trade yet but it’s a good one to keep an eye on.
See USD/JPY triangle pattern.
3 August 2017: Textbook Technical Analysis Triangle Trade Set-UpWe’ve added a textbook technical analysis triangle trade set-up.
Technical Analysis and Spread Betting ChartsTo help with technical analysis spread betting firms give clients access to charts e.g.:
Typical Default Chart
Many charts let you review historic data in different views and timeframes, eg:
- Candlesticks, Bar, Line and Area.
- Timeframes: you can set the timeframe to be in 1, 2, 3, 5, 10, 15 & 30 minute intervals, 1, 2 & 4 hour intervals as well as 1 day, 1 week and 1 month intervals.
Firms like Financial Spreads also offer some of the more advanced charting features such as
- Free ‘Back Testing’ tools
- Free price alerts
- Drawing features for Fibonacci time-zones, fans and arcs
Technical Analysis ChartsThe following spread betting companies provide clients with access to charts.
Technical Analysis Indicators
Trend IndicatorsYou might have heard the term ‘trade with the trend’ in relation to trading. Those who use trend indicators believe the market has certain up and down trends which can be used to predict future prices.
One of the simplest technical indicators is the moving average. Many traders use 14 day or 28 day moving averages on which to base their trading decisions. They believe that if the price starts trading above average, chances are it will continue to do so for some time and vice versa. If it should drop below average it will most likely continue to drop for a while.
Momentum IndicatorsThis type of indicator aims to pick up when the market gains or loses momentum. They are often oscillating indicators, showing when the market is oversold or overbought. Examples include Stochastic Indicators and the RSI.
Volatility IndicatorsVolatility indicators pick up changes in market volatility. This can, for example, be a sudden change in the average movement of the price during a specific time period. Examples include Bollinger Bands and the ATR (Average True Range).
Also see Volatility Index (VIX) chart and guide.
Volume IndicatorsVolume indicators react to a sudden change in market volumes. If a price breakout is combined with high volumes, this is, for example, seen as a very bullish signal. Examples of volume indicators include the OBV and the Demand Index.
What is Technical Analysis?You will find that there are a large number of variables that could determine the current price of a given market. Ultimately it depends on how much money investors are inclined to buy/sell it at.
Whether or not a specific commodities market, share or forex rate moves lower or higher will often depend upon the market’s sentiment towards an industry or company.
This suggests that if market optimism decreases, prices can dip. Then again, of course, growing confidence can often turn into rising price levels. Note that with derivates products like spread betting an investor can speculate on a market to drop.
Many speculators decide to use a blend of fundamental analysis and technical analysis when evaluating the markets.
A trader using solely technical analysis bases their viewpoint on indentifying price trends in historic data and as a result candlestick charts are normally very helpful.
Considering the fact that a number of candlestick charts enable you to examine market movements covering 30, 10, 5 and even 1 minute intervals then technical analysis often attracts short term traders and day traders.
The basic principle of technical analysis is that all the details about a given market are already built into any price trends.
As a consequence, there’s no requirement to cover the current financial news and market information etc due to the fact any such elements are, in theory, reflected in the current market level.
Then again, whilst this can be a fast and useful analysis, the principal drawback is the fact that this type of analysis is based solely on historic data. Just because a given share has been falling, that does not guarantee that it will continue to fall.
Remember: Spread betting, CFDs and forex trading carry a high level of risk. You can lose more than your initial investment. These products are not suitable for all investors. Only speculate with money that you can afford to lose. Make sure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent financial advice where necessary.